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On today's Western Voices podcast, I'll be covering the topic of Peak Oil. Because the topic is quite involved, I'm breaking it down into two broadcasts. Today, I'll be explaining what Peak Oil is, the fact that it is an issue of real concern, existing energy sources and technology that could mitigate the effects, and what experts are predicting for society as a result. The gist, almost entirely undisputed, is that crude oil is a finite resource that becomes progressively more difficult to remove from the ground as its supply wanes. As the supply decreases, it becomes increasingly expensive. The only question in dispute is not whether, but when it will happen. The GAO (Government Accountability Office) issued a report in February 2. What I can tell you is that recently the International Energy Agency predicted that demand would exceed supply this summer, and that China imported 2. What I can also tell you is that, according to the GAO, . While the details are a bit sketchy due to a number of confounding factors, peak oil is an absolute fact, and not something that can just be wished away by putting our collective heads in the sand. Oil production has already peaked for all countries outside of Southwest Asia. The United States is the world's third largest oil- producing region, and our oil production peaked in 1. But before we can effectively analyze the likely results of the Peak Oil phenomenon, and what we should be doing about it individually and as a group, we must first look at the way Americans live. Whether you love cities or hate cities, they are an essential lubricant for commerce in that they concentrate huge numbers of inter- related enterprises in close proximity in order to gain efficiencies. The cost of residential property, either for purchase or rental, is largely a function of accessibility to jobs in the cities, as cities are the areas with the greatest levels of employment. So it should be no surprise that in most suburbs of Boston a small single family home costs between $3. Kentucky for less than $5. The so- called inner- city areas that are populated largely by minorities almost without exception manifest high crime, poor living conditions, and abominably- performing schools. There are reasons for this that we won't go into for now. Suffice it to say that white families move from such areas into areas that have lower crime, better living conditions and better schools. As a result, they bid up the price of housing in such areas, but not so much that it is more expensive than comparable homes in good neighborhoods in the city. The suburbs closest to the city are the most expensive, and the further away you go, the more affordable they become. This allows employers in the cities to pay wages that would support someone living in a suburb, though not the city proper, which allows the business to be more profitable and efficient while allowing employees a higher quality of life. Whether used for public transportation or private vehicles, plentiful petroleum at cheap prices is the commodity that allows this to happen. It is at the root of how we, as Americans, live and work. The economic, social and political implications of a future decline in oil availability are profound. Already, rising gas prices have led to reduced consumer spending for 4. Walmart feeling the effects.(3) Economic growth has slowed, and retail sales have slumped across the board as a direct result of increased fuel prices.(4). Just how disruptive Peak Oil is likely to be depends on a lot of factors. For example, the rapidity of the development of alternative fuels, whether unaudited OPEC nations are telling the truth about their remaining reserves, and so forth. Yet, even the most optimistic view of alternative energy technology says that it will replace only 3. This is nowhere near enough, so we can look forward to big economic problems. As the GAO report summarized: . Because the decline would be neither temporary nor reversible, the effects would continue until alternative transportation technologies to displace oil became available in sufficient quantities at comparable costs. Proper preparation requires at least some thought to what we'll be facing, so forewarned is fore- armed, especially considering that some experts predict Peak Oil to be no more than four years away.(5). There are a number of facts pertaining to energy production and use in the United States that are crucial to a complete understanding of the ultimate impact of a peak in oil production. The alternative fuels vaunted by many as the savior of civilization simply don't have the capacity to replace our current petroleum usage. For example, right now we use 3. In order to move that 1. ALL of our corn production. In order to move it to 1. And current high yields of corn depend on huge inputs of cheap energy in the form of fertilizers, insecticides and herbicides that will become increasingly expensive. And as the Dust Bowl days so painfully illustrated, you can't put the earth under that much stress agriculturally for prolonged periods of time. Not only that, but ethanol as an alternative fuel is entirely unworkable, because it actually takes 7. So the ethanol blended with gasoline is essentially a welfare program for corn farmers to garner the Midwest- farm vote. But biodiesel and other forms of vegetable oil could replace only 1. When ethanol, biodiesel, wind and solar power are combined, they will only replace 3. Since peak oil could hit any day now, that means in all likelihood we will be facing an energy deficit accompanied by a prolonged and severe depression. But it is also from here on out that our analysis will diverge. They seem to think all of the problems of the modern age would be solved if we could all just move back to the one- room schoolhouse illuminated by a whale- oil lamp. In a sense, they see the collapse of our governments and social systems as something of a cleansing flood that will wipe out the corruption and give us a fresh start. This is why if you read some of the web sites and forums dedicated to the Peak Oil phenomenon you will read an undercurrent of folks actually hoping for a widespread die- off of human populations. There have been many causes cited for an impending collapse of civilization, and Peak Oil is just the most recent. Peak Oil will certainly happen and there will certainly be some human misery associated with it, but it is highly unlikely that it will serve to wipe the slate. It certainly won't bring down our government and it won't automatically dislodge the Apostles of Epic Evil from their seats of power. I'll talk more about that momentarily, but first I'd like to give you some mainstream predictions, even though I believe they will be partially mitigated. This need has not been addressed, though, due to political correctness. The United States, rather than importing unassimilable aliens so that our elites can have gardeners at low prices, actually needs to reduce its population by one- third in order to avert a humanitarian disaster. Take Boston for example. It is a city of about 6. There is simply not enough housing for folks to live near where their jobs are, and what housing there is .. So they take subways, commuter rails, cars and buses. Our entire economy is built around this sort of centralized model in which the use of automobiles or some form of energy- consuming public transport is a practical necessity for most people. The automobile is a necessity for most people in order to get to work in order to earn a living. Businesses can't afford to pay wages high enough for workers to be able to live near their jobs. The commuting infrastructure makes it possible for people to purchase less expensive housing, which enables a higher quality of life on a lower wage. Gas at $1. 0/gallon would change that dramatically. It would make it impossible for people to be able to afford to go to work at a time when a recession or depression is in progress and employers won't be able to pay higher wages. Most food is raised on an industrial scale using massive petroleum sucking equipment along with fertilizers and pesticides that require petroleum for their production. This is especially true of the core grain crops that supply the bottom of the food pyramid and serve as the primary base for animal feed. This problem will be exacerbated as an ever- increasing proportion of food materials are used to make ethanol and biodiesel. To make matters even worse, the current level of production of corn, for example, of 1. With these removed, productivity would drop to somewhere between 1. So an increase in the price of petroleum would be reflected in spiraling food prices for captive urban populations that often don't even have a square foot of earth available to grow their own food. Most folks who live in suburbs these days haven't the foggiest notion of how to provide their own food. Power plants run on all manner of fossil fuels, mainly coal. But even though the supply of coal is relatively plentiful compared to petroleum, the rising costs of petroleum will substantially increase the demand for coal and natural gas as alternatives, making these more expensive as well. So you can expect electric bills to first double, then triple. Because electricity is used for a huge proportion of the heating and cooling in the totally environmentally controlled skyscrapers in which so many people live and work, these folks will be a captive population forced to absorb those costs in order to avoid freezing. Even people who use oil or natural gas for heat will have to pay much larger electric bills because oil and natural gas furnaces require electricity to run pumps and blowers. The average family will have no choice but to absorb gigantic increases in the cost of necessities at a time when employers will be struggling for survival themselves. The University of Oklahoma. 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High quality measurements of radiative parameters must be obtained to be able to characterize the way in which the interaction of radiation with the atmosphere results in climatic change and evolution. With the goal of contributing to the above objective we are developing state- of- the- art radiation measuring. The truth about the i. Pad. You can. Some pilots are skeptical that the i. Pad really changes anything. Most gush about it and how flying will never be the same. Does the i. Pad have a place in the cockpit, especially for real world IFR flying? Not what it was made for. But I would also admit that it has not radically changed how I fly. First, it. The real magic is not one specific function, but rather an elegant combination of them: A large screen that finally makes it possible to read charts and text without zooming. The slim profile makes it easy to take in and out of an airplane, so it is ideal for renters or clubs. Great battery life of nearly 1. Mobile connectivity allows for easy chart updates and on- the- go weather briefings. A (relatively) easy- to- use operating system that is refreshingly stable. These features have all been available before on other devices, but never in one package. Notably, until the i. Pad there was no way around the. For most pilots used to seeing $1. Pad seems like a steal. Add to that the wealth of apps that are available for well under $1. Secondly, the i. Pad has plenty of uses outside of aviation. This legitimate ability to multi- task makes the i. Pad more convenient, more practical and an even better value. Plus, it makes the i. Pad spouse- approved. The i. Pad is one large piece of glass, and it does a fine job of reflecting light. While many screen protectors are available (hint: most don. It does not mount to the yoke as effortlessly as traditional aviation GPSs. It is not an aviation- specific device. Again, this is a strength in one respect, but it also means that most components are not ideally suited to the sometimes- harsh environment of an airplane cockpit. Overheating can be an issue (tip: don’t put it on the glare shield). Finally, there’s no dedicated Direct- To button! But even with these limitations in mind, the i. Pad does have numerous. It’s all a matter of playing to its strengths, and not getting caught up in “gee whiz” features of dubious utility. It is not and should not be used as your entire panel (and yes, people are doing that). But as a portable way to view charts, follow your progress on a cross country or get a last- minute weather briefing at the FBO, it’s hard to beat. As long as that’s what you use it for, the i. Pad has a place in most pilots’ flight bags. I suspect most pilots have their own preferences, but here are my top five aviation uses for the i. Pad: I carry more charts and more current charts with the i. Pad–there’s no debate. It is both cheaper and easier to have the latest charts for my entire route with me, no matter how short the trip. All my excuses for using a month- old sectional are gone. In particular, updates are a breeze. Apps like Fore. Flight can update every chart (plates, sectionals, en route charts, A/FDs) with the touch of one button. I get more pre- flight weather briefings and look at more weather graphics. Two factors are at work here: the portability of the i. Pad means it’s almost always with me, and the quality of the apps makes it easy to get the information I want. Last- minute sprints to the WSI computer and waiting on hold with Flight Service are a thing of the past, as is launching with a 1. I do more performance reviews and weight and balance calculations. No, I don’t do it on every flight, but having it on my i. Pad instead of being buried in the airplane’s POH means I’m a lot more likely to check the takeoff distance on a hot day. Some great (and inexpensive) apps make it easy. I use Numbers to make a custom weight and balance spreadsheet for each airplane, and Good. Reader to store and read the manufacturers’ information manuals. I have consistent information and hardware when moving between airplanes. The oldest airplane I fly was built in 1. Just about the only thing that’s the same in those airplanes is my i. Pad. This makes a big difference, because I will always be “current” on the i. Pad and I never have to install anything. The i. Pad is a decent backup navigator. This is probably the weakest feature of the tablet–an i. Pad is definitely no Garmin 7. When combined with an external GPS, I at least have a moving map display with airport information if the panel avionics should die. And with great battery life, I’m not dependent on the cigarette lighter. What this list shows is that the i. Pad is a major convenience, but it hasn. I still file flight plans the same way, I still use the panel GPS for navigation, I fly the same types of trips and my personal minimums are the same. In the end, I’d say the i. Pad is revolutionary, but only on cost and convenience, not features. Would moving map sectionals, digital charts or pre- flight weather graphics be revolutionary if it cost $3,5. So in that regard, the critics are right: the i. Pad. But don’t underestimate the power of “easier and cheaper.” In a world of complicated glass cockpits, rising fuel prices, pop- up TFRs and other expensive hassles, there aren’t many things in aviation that can make that promise. What do you think? Do you fly with an i. Pad? Is it all hype or a major step forward for pilots? Leave your comments below. Fiat Ecu Scan 2. 5 Keygen Serial Number, key, crack, keygen. Fiat ecu scan 3.6 full crack Fiatecuscan 3.6.2 keygen free download Fiat ecu scan 3.6.2 full support for Fiat Alfa Romeo and Lancia.
Multiecuscan program usage help. Last post FIAT FREEMONT by leandrocma Sat Feb 25, 2017 2:15 am; FESmobile. FESmobile - Windows Mobile version of Multiecuscan. MHH AUTODear Respected Members, please abide by the rules of the forum and avoid posting unacceptable comments or illegal software. Avira 2. 01. 7 - Download free antivirus for PC & Mac. Avira Vault. Keep your secrets private. Comparison of antivirus software This is a non-exhaustive list of notable antivirus and Internet. Avira Antivirus FREE (formerly AntiVir) Yes: Yes: Yes: Yes: No: No: No: No: No: Yes: No: Yes: Yes: Yes: Yes: Yes: Yes. Choose security that matches your device, and your needs. Free Antivirus, Internet Security or Premier protection for mobile, Windows, Mac or Android. So keep what’s private secretly hidden in a digital vault. The latest anti-virus software reviews at PC Advisor. Anti-virus user reviews, ratings, buying advice and price comparison. Which is the best antivirus program for Windows in 2015? For many people, the PC is still the place where we keep our most important files. What is the best free antivirus? This is among the most common questions we receive at MakeUseOf. People want to be protected, but they don Find and compare antivirus software by user ratings, reviews, price, and features. Easily sort, filter, and rank to find the best option for you. Free antivirus comparison. See our expert and unbiased reviews of the top 10 antivirus software programs of 2017. Compare the best antivirus software for free. The best free antivirus: a. This posting will discuss which of the following three programs deserves the title of . The point here is that these comparisons can give us a fairly. |
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