Plotter Paper for Architecture Engineering Construction and Graphic Display. 20lb Inkjet CAD Bond (11) 18lb Translucent Inkjet CAD. 2014-15 Volunteer Support Fund Successful Applicants. Burton Community Centre. Conflict Resolution Training for volunteers. Peak Oil is Coming. John Young. Audio here. Welcome to Western Voices, I'm John Young of European Americans United. The Department of Anthropology at UCI is at the forefront of addressing. Conflict Resolution in Cross. MacArthur Foundation. Wisdom mazda 2 owners manual pdf youre not safe mary burton m6. Information from the National Assembly for Wales, devolved government for key areas of public life such as health, education, and environment. News, sports, features, obituaries, advertising, and special online features from the city's daily newspaper. Advertising Programmes Business Solutions +Google About Google Google.com . Search; Images; Maps; Play; YouTube; News; Gmail; Drive; More. On today's Western Voices podcast, I'll be covering the topic of Peak Oil. Because the topic is quite involved, I'm breaking it down into two broadcasts. Today, I'll be explaining what Peak Oil is, the fact that it is an issue of real concern, existing energy sources and technology that could mitigate the effects, and what experts are predicting for society as a result. The gist, almost entirely undisputed, is that crude oil is a finite resource that becomes progressively more difficult to remove from the ground as its supply wanes. As the supply decreases, it becomes increasingly expensive. The only question in dispute is not whether, but when it will happen. The GAO (Government Accountability Office) issued a report in February 2. What I can tell you is that recently the International Energy Agency predicted that demand would exceed supply this summer, and that China imported 2. What I can also tell you is that, according to the GAO, . While the details are a bit sketchy due to a number of confounding factors, peak oil is an absolute fact, and not something that can just be wished away by putting our collective heads in the sand. Oil production has already peaked for all countries outside of Southwest Asia. The United States is the world's third largest oil- producing region, and our oil production peaked in 1. But before we can effectively analyze the likely results of the Peak Oil phenomenon, and what we should be doing about it individually and as a group, we must first look at the way Americans live. Whether you love cities or hate cities, they are an essential lubricant for commerce in that they concentrate huge numbers of inter- related enterprises in close proximity in order to gain efficiencies. The cost of residential property, either for purchase or rental, is largely a function of accessibility to jobs in the cities, as cities are the areas with the greatest levels of employment. So it should be no surprise that in most suburbs of Boston a small single family home costs between $3. Kentucky for less than $5. The so- called inner- city areas that are populated largely by minorities almost without exception manifest high crime, poor living conditions, and abominably- performing schools. There are reasons for this that we won't go into for now. Suffice it to say that white families move from such areas into areas that have lower crime, better living conditions and better schools. As a result, they bid up the price of housing in such areas, but not so much that it is more expensive than comparable homes in good neighborhoods in the city. The suburbs closest to the city are the most expensive, and the further away you go, the more affordable they become. This allows employers in the cities to pay wages that would support someone living in a suburb, though not the city proper, which allows the business to be more profitable and efficient while allowing employees a higher quality of life. Whether used for public transportation or private vehicles, plentiful petroleum at cheap prices is the commodity that allows this to happen. It is at the root of how we, as Americans, live and work. The economic, social and political implications of a future decline in oil availability are profound. Already, rising gas prices have led to reduced consumer spending for 4. Walmart feeling the effects.(3) Economic growth has slowed, and retail sales have slumped across the board as a direct result of increased fuel prices.(4). Just how disruptive Peak Oil is likely to be depends on a lot of factors. For example, the rapidity of the development of alternative fuels, whether unaudited OPEC nations are telling the truth about their remaining reserves, and so forth. Yet, even the most optimistic view of alternative energy technology says that it will replace only 3. This is nowhere near enough, so we can look forward to big economic problems. As the GAO report summarized: . Because the decline would be neither temporary nor reversible, the effects would continue until alternative transportation technologies to displace oil became available in sufficient quantities at comparable costs. Proper preparation requires at least some thought to what we'll be facing, so forewarned is fore- armed, especially considering that some experts predict Peak Oil to be no more than four years away.(5). There are a number of facts pertaining to energy production and use in the United States that are crucial to a complete understanding of the ultimate impact of a peak in oil production. The alternative fuels vaunted by many as the savior of civilization simply don't have the capacity to replace our current petroleum usage. For example, right now we use 3. In order to move that 1. ALL of our corn production. In order to move it to 1. And current high yields of corn depend on huge inputs of cheap energy in the form of fertilizers, insecticides and herbicides that will become increasingly expensive. And as the Dust Bowl days so painfully illustrated, you can't put the earth under that much stress agriculturally for prolonged periods of time. Not only that, but ethanol as an alternative fuel is entirely unworkable, because it actually takes 7. So the ethanol blended with gasoline is essentially a welfare program for corn farmers to garner the Midwest- farm vote. But biodiesel and other forms of vegetable oil could replace only 1. When ethanol, biodiesel, wind and solar power are combined, they will only replace 3. Since peak oil could hit any day now, that means in all likelihood we will be facing an energy deficit accompanied by a prolonged and severe depression. But it is also from here on out that our analysis will diverge. They seem to think all of the problems of the modern age would be solved if we could all just move back to the one- room schoolhouse illuminated by a whale- oil lamp. In a sense, they see the collapse of our governments and social systems as something of a cleansing flood that will wipe out the corruption and give us a fresh start. This is why if you read some of the web sites and forums dedicated to the Peak Oil phenomenon you will read an undercurrent of folks actually hoping for a widespread die- off of human populations. There have been many causes cited for an impending collapse of civilization, and Peak Oil is just the most recent. Peak Oil will certainly happen and there will certainly be some human misery associated with it, but it is highly unlikely that it will serve to wipe the slate. It certainly won't bring down our government and it won't automatically dislodge the Apostles of Epic Evil from their seats of power. I'll talk more about that momentarily, but first I'd like to give you some mainstream predictions, even though I believe they will be partially mitigated. This need has not been addressed, though, due to political correctness. The United States, rather than importing unassimilable aliens so that our elites can have gardeners at low prices, actually needs to reduce its population by one- third in order to avert a humanitarian disaster. Take Boston for example. It is a city of about 6. There is simply not enough housing for folks to live near where their jobs are, and what housing there is .. So they take subways, commuter rails, cars and buses. Our entire economy is built around this sort of centralized model in which the use of automobiles or some form of energy- consuming public transport is a practical necessity for most people. The automobile is a necessity for most people in order to get to work in order to earn a living. Businesses can't afford to pay wages high enough for workers to be able to live near their jobs. The commuting infrastructure makes it possible for people to purchase less expensive housing, which enables a higher quality of life on a lower wage. Gas at $1. 0/gallon would change that dramatically. It would make it impossible for people to be able to afford to go to work at a time when a recession or depression is in progress and employers won't be able to pay higher wages. Most food is raised on an industrial scale using massive petroleum sucking equipment along with fertilizers and pesticides that require petroleum for their production. This is especially true of the core grain crops that supply the bottom of the food pyramid and serve as the primary base for animal feed. This problem will be exacerbated as an ever- increasing proportion of food materials are used to make ethanol and biodiesel. To make matters even worse, the current level of production of corn, for example, of 1. With these removed, productivity would drop to somewhere between 1. So an increase in the price of petroleum would be reflected in spiraling food prices for captive urban populations that often don't even have a square foot of earth available to grow their own food. Most folks who live in suburbs these days haven't the foggiest notion of how to provide their own food. Power plants run on all manner of fossil fuels, mainly coal. But even though the supply of coal is relatively plentiful compared to petroleum, the rising costs of petroleum will substantially increase the demand for coal and natural gas as alternatives, making these more expensive as well. So you can expect electric bills to first double, then triple. Because electricity is used for a huge proportion of the heating and cooling in the totally environmentally controlled skyscrapers in which so many people live and work, these folks will be a captive population forced to absorb those costs in order to avoid freezing. Even people who use oil or natural gas for heat will have to pay much larger electric bills because oil and natural gas furnaces require electricity to run pumps and blowers. The average family will have no choice but to absorb gigantic increases in the cost of necessities at a time when employers will be struggling for survival themselves. The University of Oklahoma. 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